DFDS Q1, 2022: Growth, growth, growth…

By | 2022 Newletter week 19 | No Comments

Group revenue increased 52% to DKK 5.7bn.

  • Ferry Division’s revenue was increased by higher freight and passenger activity as well as a rise in bunker surcharge revenue.
  • Logistics Division’s revenue was increased by the acquisition of HSF Logistics Group in September 2021 and ICT Logistics in January 2022 as well as higher activity and yield increases for the existing activities.

EBITDA increased 9% to DKK 822m.

  • The total freight EBITDA for ferry and logistics activities before special items increased 10% to DKK 926m driven mainly by growth in the Mediterranean business unit, improved logistics performance, and the acquisition of HSF Logistics Group.
  • The war in Ukraine reduced Baltic Sea’s freight volumes and the result.
  • The total EBITDA for passenger activities in the Baltic Sea, Channel, and Passenger business units decreased 12% to DKK -104m.
  • Earnings were reduced by the re-opening of Oslo-Frederikshavn-Copenhagen in a low season market environment with passenger numbers still recovering from Covid-19. This offset higher Channel earnings as all ferries have continuously operated in this market.

Outlook 2022
The revenue growth outlook is increased to around 30% compared to 2021 due to significantly higher revenue from oil surcharges as well as higher passenger revenue (previously 23-27%).
EBITDA before special items is unchanged DKK 3.9-4.4bn (2021: DKK 3.4bn).
The outlook is detailed on page 10 in the full report.

DFDS Monthly Volume Report: Freight Up 5%, Continued Passenger Recovery

By | 2022 Newletter week 19 | No Comments

Ferry – freight:

  • Total volumes in April 2022 were 5.4% above 2021 driven by higher volumes in the Mediterranean and Channel business units.
  • Volumes in the Mediterranean network continued to grow supported by higher capacity. Channel’s volumes were well above last year due to a positive impact from suspension of P&O Ferries sailings through most of the month.
  • North Sea volumes were slightly below 2021 primarily due to dockings that reduced capacity between the Netherlands and the UK.
  • The war in Ukraine lowered Baltic Sea volumes considerably compared to 2021, mainly between Germany and Lithuania.

Ferry – passenger

  • The recovery in passenger numbers continued in April with a tenfold increase to 337k equal to 70% of volumes in April 2019, the latest comparable month pre-Covid-19.

Volumes increased in all regions, including a positive impact from suspension of P&O sailings on the English Channel.

DFDS is introducing a new rail freight service Sète-Calais

By | 2022 Newsletter week 18 | No Comments
  • The new rail service connects London with Yalova in Turkey, as of 17 May 2022.
  • This will shorten transport time between London and Istanbul.
  • Twice a week, with two weekly departures in each direction.
  • This is the latest in a series of investments that DFDS is making to improve its service; a new unaccompanied freight service from Sheerness to Calais, which can carry over 100 trailers or containers per sailing opened in June last year.

DFDS March figures

By | 2022 Newsletter week 15 | No Comments

Freight

  • Freight lane metres: +5.9% or 43.6 million (last 12 months)
  • Total volumes in March 2022 were 0.3% above 2021 (on level adjusted for route changes) as higher volumes in North Sea, Mediterranean, and Channel were offset by lower volumes in Baltic Sea.
  • North Sea volumes were slightly above 2021.
  • Volumes in the Mediterranean network were overall well above 2021.
  • Towards the end of March, volumes on the English Channel routes were increased due to the suspension of sailings of P&O Ferries.
  • Baltic Sea volumes were below 2021 due to the war in Ukraine. Volumes were also impacted by reduced capacity on a route where one ferry was removed.

Passenger ferries

  • The number of passengers continued to increase in March as travel restrictions were rolled back.
  • The number of passengers increased more than four hundred percent to 134k equal to 49% of the number of passengers in March 2019, the latest comparable month pre-Covid-19.
  • Volumes primarily increased between Norway and Denmark as well as on the Channel.
  • For the last twelve months 2022-21, the total number of passengers was 1.1m compared to 1.0m in 2021-20 and 5.1m in 2019, the latter being the latest pre-Covid-19 year.

DFDS : “five battery-powered cross-Channel ferries towards 2030”

By | 2022 Newsletter week 9 | No Comments

This and other interesting items can be read in the DFDS Annual Report 2021.

Some interesting elements:

Newbuilding plans (p29)

There are currently no plans to build new ferries, apart from a green ferry new building scheduled for 2025. The next major fleet investment program is expected to be renewal of the five short-sea Channel ferries for completion towards 2030. These ferries are expected to be battery powered due to the short crossing time of the Dover Strait.

Remark: under ‘investments’ (p24), DKK 2.3bn investments are expected in 2022:

One combined freight and passenger ferry new building and exercise of a purchase option to buy one freight ferry: DKK 800m.

About Irish Ferries on Calais-Dover (p32)

The excess capacity created by the entry of an additional operator is therefore likely to impact both freight and passenger pricing negatively in 2022. The likely passenger ticket price decreases will to some extent be mitigated by additional revenue from duty-free sales. Moreover, the new entrant will decrease the energy efficiency of the Dover Strait transport corridor.

Baltic Sea region (p32)

Freight volumes have grown in recent years which has led to capacity increases on routes operated by both direct and indirect competitors. The bridge between Germany and Denmark is expected to be completed within the next ten years and this has also prompted some operators to adjust their route networks. Freight ferry capacity in the region is therefore expected to continue to grow faster than demand in 2022.

Truck driver shortage

The truck driver shortages experienced in 2021 are likely to persist in the coming years. This is expected to support continued growth in the demand for unaccompanied ferry services that DFDS primarily provides in the North Sea and Mediterranean business units.

Roro vessel market

There was high demand for roro’s offered for chartering in the market and fixtures were made for longer periods at strong rates. Despite a market orderbook for newbuildings above both 2019 and 2020 (2019: 50k LM, 2020: 25k LM, 2021: 43k LM) and limited scrapping, all new buildings were absorbed in the market and several large operators added extra charter capacity to their networks.

The orderbook for 2022 and 2023 is around 70k LM, although Covid-19 related delays are expected to move delivery of several ferries into 2024. Smaller/older vessels are currently sold to secondary markets, rather than scrapped, and thus removed from the European market as well.

Ropax vessels

There was high demand for combined ferries with an overweight of freight capacity, to the extent that no vessels were available for chartering during most of 2021.

Charter rates for this ferry type thus increased during 2021.

Conversely, the demand for passenger-focused ferries was low and several vessels were idle during the year.

The orderbook for combined ferries is around 105k LM stretching to 2025 as few vessels were delivered in recent years (2019: 11k LM, 2020: 11k LM, 2021: 17k LM).

Click on cover

DFDS January: freight up 14% driven by Mediterranean and UK routes

By | 2022 Newsletter week 6 | No Comments
  • Freight volumes in January 2022 were 13.8% above 2021.
  • The volume growth in January was mainly driven by higher volumes on UK and Mediterranean routes.
  • Volumes on all UK routes increased considerably compared to last year as volumes in the first month post-Brexit were reduced by new rules and procedures as well as stock-building ahead of Brexit.
  • Volumes in the Mediterranean network were up on all routes on the back of deployment of more capacity and continued good growth in Turkish exports.
  • For the last twelve months 2022-21, total transported freight lane metres increased 6.7% to 43.2m from DKK 40.5m in 2021-20.
  • The total number of passengers in January 2022 was 45.7% above 2021.
  • The number of passengers increased between Norway and Denmark, while the number of passengers on UK and Baltic routes were on level with 2021.
  • For the last twelve months 2022-21, total number of passengers was 0.9m compared to 1.3m in 2021-20 and 5.1m in 2020-19, the latter being the latest pre-Covid-19 year.

DFDS Q4: growth set to continue in 2022

By | 2022 Newsletter week 6 | No Comments

“In spite of Covid-19, Brexit, and supply chain bottlenecks, we delivered a strong result for 2021. In 2022, we look to raise both revenue and earnings more than 20%,” says Torben Carlsen, CEO.

  • EBITDA increased 19% to DKK 915m in Q4
  • Supply chain bottlenecks eased during Q4
  • Early signs of pick-up in passenger numbers
  • EBITDA expected to grow more than 20% in 2022
  • Total dividend of DKK 8.00 per share planned

OUTLOOK 2022

  • EBITDA range DKK 3.9-4.4bn (2021: DKK 3.4bn)
  • Revenue growth of 23-27%
  • Investments of DKK 2.3bn