DFDS September Volumes: Continued Freight Growth

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Ferry – freight:

  • Total volumes in September 2024 were 4.4% above 2023 and up 1.0% adjusted for the addition of Strait of Gibraltar routes in 2024 and closure of the Calais-Tilbury route in 2023.
  • North Sea volumes were below 2023 following mixed activity levels across the route network.
  • Mediterranean volumes were in September above 2023 with higher volumes on all routes.
  • Channel volumes continued in September to be above 2023. Baltic Sea volumes were overall above 2023.
  • For the last twelve months 2024-23, the total transported freight lane metres increased 5.6% to 40.7m from 38.5m in 2023-22. The increase was 2.8% adjusted for the addition of Strait of Gibraltar routes and the Calais-Tilbury route closure.

Ferry – passenger:

  • The number of passengers in September 2024 was 39.4% above 2023 and down 2.7% adjusted for the addition of the Strait of Gibraltar routes. The adjusted decrease was due to smaller variances across routes.
  • The number of cars was 22.0% above 2023 and down 8.2% adjusted for Strait of Gibraltar.
  • For the last twelve months 2024-23, the total number of passengers increased 43.8% to 6.4m compared to 4.5m for 2023-22. The increase was 6.5% adjusted for Strait of Gibraltar.

DFDS Q2: higher revenues offset by challenging environment

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The Q2 results were below expectations in spite of organic growth and increased revenue. 

Trend: Freight Ferry down, Passenger ferry up. 

 Main elements: 

  • Revenue up 9% to DKK 7.6bn 
  • EBIT reduced 28% to DKK 519m 
  • Ferry Q2 EBIT decreased 21% or DKK 133m to DKK 508m driven by lower freight result 
  • Logistics Q2 EBIT decreased 41% or DKK 60m to DKK 85m driven by margin pressures, shift in customer flows, and underperformance in Nordic Cold Chain. 
  • EBITDA decreased 10% or DKK 137m following lower results in both the Ferry Division and the Logistics Division. 
  • Freight Ferry EBITDA down 8% or DKK 60m excluding DKK 54m decrease in oil spread hedging income. Organic decrease driven by rate pressures and adverse cost development 
  • Passenger EBITDA up DKK 25m due to higher volumes and spending in Channel. 

  Comments from CEO Torben Carlsen: 

  • We revised the earnings outlook for 2024 while maintaining the adjusted free cash flow outlook. 
  • The top priorities for the rest of the year are to continue to protect our key ferry market positions and turn Logistics’ earnings trend around. 
  • In parallel with addressing these priorities, we will continue to unlock the value of our expanded network and to move our green transition forward. 
  • We continued in Q2 to protect our strategic Baltic and Channel ferry market positions in market environments with rate pressure from overcapacity and limited volume growth. Our ability to fully pass on cost increases is therefore currently reduced. 
  • We are confident that the short-term protection of our route network will ensure long-term growth and resilience as markets over time move to rebalance supply and demand. 
  • A large part of our Logistics’ network is performing well in the face of a challenging market environment with heightened margin pressure and large shifts in customer flows in our Belgian and Dutch operations. Key focus areas in the rest of the year are to further adapt the cost base to the current pricing environment and to grow volumes organically. 
  • In addition to market impacts, Logistics’ Q2 result was lowered by underperformance of the Nordic Cold Chain business unit. We expect to complete the ongoing turnaround of the Nordic unit by year-end. 
  • Overall, we expect Logistics Division’s Q3 result to remain below 2023 while the Q4 2024 result is expected to exceed 2023. 

Outlook 2024 

  • The EBIT outlook range was lowered to DKK 1.7-2.1bn from previously DKK 2.0-2.4bn following a Q2 result below expectations and continued market headwinds expected for the rest of year.  
  • Revenue growth of 8-11% (unchanged) 
  • The adjusted free cash flow outlook is unchanged around DKK 1.5bn. 

 Green Strategy 2024-2030 

  • 45% reduction in ferry emission intensity. 
  • Six green ferries in operation by the end of 2030. 
  • 75% reduction of land emission intensity. 

 


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DFDS July volumes: Freight up 9%

By | 2024 Newsletter week 33 | No Comments

Ferry – freight:  

  • Total volumes in July 2024 were 9.4% above 2023 and up 6.3% adjusted for the addition of Strait of Gibraltar routes in 2024 and closure of the Calais-Tilbury route in 2023. 
  • North Sea volumes were just above 2023 as volumes between the Continent and the UK picked up offsetting lower automotive volumes. 
  • Mediterranean volumes were in July above 2023 driven by higher volumes between Türkiye and France. 
  • Channel volumes continued in July to be above 2023 as did volumes on the Baltic Sea routes. 
  • For the last twelve months 2024-23, the total transported freight lane metres increased 4.1% to 40.4m from 38.8m in 2023-22. The increase was 2.0% adjusted for the addition of Strait of Gibraltar routes and the Calais-Tilbury route closure. 

Ferry – passenger: 

  • The number of passengers in July 2024 was 40.0% above 2023 and down 3.1% adjusted for the addition of the Strait of Gibraltar routes. 
  • The adjusted decrease was due to lower Channel and Baltic Sea volumes.  
  • The number of cars were 24.7% above 2023 and down 4.4% adjusted for Strait of Gibraltar. 
  • For the last twelve months 2024-23, the total number of passengers increased 30.8% to 5.8m compared to 4.4m for 2023-22. The increase was 6.6% adjusted for Strait of Gibraltar. 

End of space charter agreement DFDS – P&O Ferries

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DFDS will leave the space charter agreement with P&O Ferries covering the Channel’s Dover-Calais route. 

With P&O Ferries’ recent agreement to enter into an additional and separate space charter agreement with the third ferry operator on Dover-Calais, Irish Ferries, the terms of a continuing space charter arrangement would change. 

The space charter agreement was entered into in May 2021 and will end when the contractual notice period is complete at the end of August 2024. 

Source: DFDS 

DFDS June volumes: continued growth for both freight and passengers

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Ferry – freight:  

  • Total volumes in June 2024 were 5.8% above 2023 and up 0.9% adjusted for the addition of Strait of Gibraltar routes in 2024 and closure of the Calais-Tilbury route in 2023. 
  • North Sea volumes were below 2023 as higher volumes on the Swedish routes were offset by lower temperature controlled volumes, mainly food, between the Continent and the UK. 
  • Mediterranean volumes were also in June above 2023 driven by higher volumes on all routes. 
  • Channel volumes continued in June to be above 2023 as did volumes on the Baltic Sea routes. 
  • For the last twelve months 2024-23, the total transported freight lane metres increased 2.8% to 40.2m from 39.1m in 2023-22. The increase was 1.0% adjusted for the addition of Strait of Gibraltar routes and the Calais-Tilbury route closure. 

Ferry – passenger 

  • The number of passengers in June 2024 was 46.2% above 2023 and up 11.1% adjusted for the addition of the Strait of Gibraltar routes.  
  • The adjusted increase continued to be driven mainly by higher Channel volumes. 
  • The number of cars were 26.2% above 2023 and up 3.6% adjusted for Strait of Gibraltar. 
  • For the last twelve months 2024-23, the total number of passengers increased 26.2% to 5.5m compared to 4.3m for 2023-22. The increase was 8.6% adjusted for Strait of Gibraltar. 

DFDS to sell Oslo-Frederikshavn-Copenhagen route to Gotlandsbolaget

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DFDS has agreed to sell the Oslo-Frederikshavn-Copenhagen cruise ferry route to Gotlandsbolaget, with the sale expected to be completed in October 2024.

The Oslo-Frederikshavn-Copenhagen route

  • 700,000 passengers annually
  • Limited freight
  • Two cruise ferries: Pearl Seaways and Crown Seaways
  • 800 employees
  • Generated DKK 0.9bn in revenue in 2023, representing 3% of DFDS Group’s total revenue.
  • A long-standing part of DFDS since its foundation in 1866 and an important public service in Denmark and Norway.

The sale includes the two ferries, terminal and port agreements, and 800 employees, with DFDS providing certain support services post-sale for a limited time. The sale price is around DKK 400m.

The deal comes about a year after Gotlandsbolaget bought Birka Stockholm (now Birka Gotland) . It is for the Swedish company yet another step in the strategic direction to expand in passenger shipping.

The two vessels will not be reflagged in connection with the transaction and no layoffs are planned as part of the transfer of the route.

New Intermodal Route for DFDS: Connecting Finland, the UK, and the Continent

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DFDS launched a new intermodal route that connects Finland, the UK, and the Continent.

In partnership with TX Logistik AG and Wasaline, this innovative route combines ferry and rail transport for a seamless connection. The journey begins in Vaasa, Finland, continues by ferry to Umeå, Sweden, proceeds by rail to Gothenburg, and then reaches Immingham, Ghent, or Zeebrugge via DFDS Ferry.

With two weekly round trips and reliable capacity year-round, DFDS’ expert team manages all segments and customs documentation, making this route perfect for those looking to reduce costs and greenhouse gas emissions.

Source: DFDS Freight Ferries and Logistics on Linkedin

DFDS May volumes: both freight and passenger continued to grow

By | 2024 Newsletter week 24 | No Comments

Ferry – freight:

  • Total volumes in May 2024 were 6.9% above 2023 and up 3.8% adjusted for the addition of Strait of Gibraltar routes in 2024 and closure of the Calais-Tilbury route in 2023.
  • North Sea volumes were just below 2023 partly due to lower automotive volumes following temporary plant closures.
  • Mediterranean volumes were above 2023 driven by higher volumes on all routes.
  • Channel volumes were above 2023 and the Baltic Sea routes likewise continued to grow volumes.

For the last twelve months 2024-23, the total transported freight lane metres increased 1.6% to 40.0m from 39.3m in 2023-22. The increase was 0.3% adjusted for the addition of Strait of Gibraltar routes and the Calais-Tilbury route closure.

Ferry – passenger:

  • The number of passengers in May 2024 was 49.2% above 2023 and up 17.0% adjusted for addition of the Strait of Gibraltar routes. The increase was driven mainly by higher Channel volumes.
  • The number of cars were 34.7% above 2023 and up 13.0% adjusted for Strait of Gibraltar.

For the last twelve months 2024-23, the total number of passengers increased 23.7% to 5.3m compared to 4.3m for 2023-22. The increase was 9.2% adjusted for Strait of Gibraltar.

DFDS Q1: ahead of expectations for the quarter driven by the Ferry Division

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Q1 2024

  • Revenue up 11% to DKK 7.0bn
  • EBIT reduced 45% to DKK 200m
  • Adjusted free cash flow of DKK -327m
  • CO2 ferry emission intensity lowered 3%

OUTLOOK 2024

  • EBIT of DKK 2.0-2.4bn
  • Revenue growth of 8-11%
  • Adjusted free cash flow of around DKK 1.5bn

Torben Carlsen, CEO:

  • 2024 is the first year of new strategy “Moving Together Towards 2030” focused on unlocking the value of DFDS’ expanded network through organic growth and transitioning to become a greener company.
  • Ekol Logistics: transaction is expected to close in Q4 2024.
  • FRS: the newly acquired ferry routes on the Strait of Gibraltar were off to a good start.
  • High priority: improving earnings for activities that currently face market headwinds such as the Baltic Sea and Channel ferry networks as well parts of Cold Chain logistics activities.
  • The short-term decarbonisation of ferry activities is on target, and in parallel DFDS is laying the groundwork to achieve its ambition of having six green ferries on the water by the end of 2030.
  • Market environment remains mixed: a higher than expected pick-up in ferry volumes across most of the network in Q1 while land transport network mostly faced flat or lower volumes.
  • Persistent overcapacity enhanced pricing pressure in certain market areas.
  • “While we are on track to deliver on our outlook, we continue to focus on improving profit through operational efficiencies across our network in parallel with the execution of our strategy.”

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DFDS adds EKOL to its portfolio

By | 2024 Newsletter week 15 | No Comments

DFDS acquires international transport network connecting Türkiye and Europe from Ekol Logistics, strengthening DFDS’ market position in the transport corridor between Türkiye and Europe. The transaction is expected to be completed in Q4 2024, pending EU merger control approval.

Source: DFDS Media

The financial outlook for 2024 has been revised:

  • The DFDS Group’s revenue is in 2024 now expected to increase by 8-11% compared to 2023 assuming the acquisition is closed at the beginning of Q4 2024. The previously expected revenue increase in 2024 was 5-8%.
  • The 2024 outlook for EBIT is unchanged DKK 2.0-2.4bn.
  • Due to an expected integration period of 2-3 years, the time for achieving the financial ambition of a ROIC of around 10% in 2026 is extended to 2027.
  • The above-mentioned acquisition is at closing expected to increase DFDS’ financial leverage, NIBD/EBITDA, by around 0.3x on a pro forma basis.
  • The financial ambition of reducing financial leverage to 2.5x in 2026 is unchanged as is the financial ambition of generating an annual Adjusted free cash flow of DKK 1.5bn in the period 2024-2026.

Photo: EKOL